Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 3.244361 3.746649 4.302516 4.963597 5.728855 6.587429 7.624650
2024-10-27 2.409500 3.021855 3.758032 4.709415 5.908345 7.371790 9.298063
2024-11-03 2.026039 2.730874 3.641890 4.908402 6.628510 8.890565 12.103631
2024-11-10 1.765908 2.539067 3.605495 5.188823 7.489591 10.726469 15.653794
2024-11-17 1.516609 2.311201 3.473317 5.304447 8.133492 12.365364 19.227346
2024-11-24 1.298690 2.086421 3.301503 5.322778 8.625476 13.851344 22.831453
2024-12-01 1.083269 1.825872 3.028186 5.129639 8.743698 14.764172 25.676350
2024-12-08 0.906681 1.597044 2.765634 4.903366 8.757684 15.491259 28.314553
2024-12-15 0.811789 1.490727 2.689426 4.979143 9.297148 17.190480 32.949131
2024-12-22 0.704962 1.345362 2.520943 4.858339 9.453975 18.216420 36.497491
2024-12-29 0.666027 1.319459 2.565238 5.140798 10.414900 20.893560 43.717996
2025-01-05 0.618905 1.269947 2.556171 5.315018 11.185615 23.312393 50.828087
2025-01-12 0.559765 1.190196 2.481480 5.356638 11.718415 25.391352 57.736393
2025-01-19 0.481161 1.057850 2.279845 5.098249 11.568601 26.005931 61.535305
2025-01-26 0.453394 1.031000 2.297616 5.324876 12.539119 29.260073 72.095423
2025-02-02 0.434184 1.020237 2.348965 5.636909 13.763312 33.311791 85.400482
2025-02-09 0.403956 0.979150 2.325138 5.767445 14.575412 36.526687 97.255212
2025-02-16 0.370375 0.924737 2.261695 5.790392 15.123937 39.187520 108.203210
2025-02-23 0.327859 0.841635 2.116290 5.581714 15.038601 40.212094 114.910583
2025-03-02 0.288930 0.761615 1.966444 5.336144 14.810777 40.816030 120.545672
2025-03-09 0.270175 0.731559 1.940258 5.419468 15.503891 44.059732 134.576136
2025-03-16 0.243926 0.677352 1.842436 5.288169 15.565736 45.537559 143.582190
2025-03-23 0.238084 0.678705 1.895320 5.596504 16.970988 51.177457 166.825092